Nate and Maria talk about what Luigi Mangione can show us about the danger of black and white thinking, and... more

What were the best, worst, and most interesting decisions of 2024, and what can we learn from them? Nate and... more

Is Biden on tilt? Nate and Maria analyze the Hunter Biden pardon and try to find the line between false... more

It's the season of giving: colorful paper and shiny bows, sure, and charitable giving, too. In this special episode, Jacob... more

Nate and Maria share their game-theory-optimal travel strategies – the best time to get to the airport, the optimal airport... more

Nate and Maria talk through the game theory of how moderate Republican Senators are likely to react to Trump’s controversial... more

Nate and Maria discuss the influence of Riverians like Elon Musk on the Trump Administration, and what’s next for Democrats... more

Nate and Maria take a closer look at the results of the election. They discuss polling errors, prediction markets, demographic... more

On the day before the election, Nate gives a final model update, explains the latest polls, and talks about what... more

What were the worst and best decisions of this year’s presidential campaigns? With less than a week to go, Nate... more