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The Macro Trading Floor
The Macro Trading Floor
Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking... more

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Episodes

The Most Hawkish Fed In Years - What Now?

Powell delivered a super hawkish message: inflation remains sticky, and the Fed won’t cut rates as much as the market... more

20 Dec 2024 · 38 minutes
The US Dilemma in 2025

Alf and Brent discuss the US dilemma in 2025: should Trump be aggressive out of the gate with tariffs sacrificing... more

13 Dec 2024 · 36 minutes
Trading Trump 2.0

Alf and Brent resume the show by assessing how to approach Trump 2.0 from a macro trading perspective in 2025.... more

06 Dec 2024 · 33 minutes
Trump's Secret Agenda

In this week's episode, Brent and Alf discuss the implications of a Republican sweep. Markets reacted in a textbook way,... more

08 Nov 2024 · 34 minutes
The Bond Market Is On Fire

Heading into US elections, US bond markets are on fire: yields are selling off, the term premium is back in... more

25 Oct 2024 · 36 minutes
Financial Repression Is Here To Stay

Alf and Brent discuss the recent sharp moves in US election polls and betting markets: Trump's odds are moving up,... more

18 Oct 2024 · 38 minutes
What If The Fed Made a Mistake?

Alf and Brent discuss the most recent US macro data releases: the hurricane impacted jobless claims, and core inflation has... more

11 Oct 2024 · 39 minutes
Macro Risks On The Horizon

EXCLUSIVE DISCOUNT TO ALF & BRENT CONFERENCE https://www.spectramarkets.com/macro-roadmap-2025/ Use the coupon TMTF to get $200 OFF. Only for the first 100 users -... more

04 Oct 2024 · 34 minutes
Unpacking The Chinese Stimulus Bazooka

The Chinese stimulus bazooka has been fired. Chinese authorities have announced aggressive interest rate cuts, a 1 trillion yuan capital injection... more

27 Sep 2024 · 36 minutes
How To Trade The Fed Cutting Cycle

Alf and Brent discuss the jumbo 50 bps Fed cut and the nuances Powell shared during the press conference. They... more

20 Sep 2024 · 35 minutes
The World is Different Now

Alf and Brent discuss similarities and differences between the world and the macro cycle today versus the pre-pandemic period. While... more

13 Sep 2024 · 41 minutes
Will The Fed Cut by 25 or 50 bps?

Alf and Brent discuss recent developments in macro and labor market data, and debate whether the Fed will cut by 25... more

06 Sep 2024 · 36 minutes
How & When The Best Macro Investors Use Options

In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how cross-asset pricing in bonds, FX and equity markets has rapidly changed in... more

23 Aug 2024 · 40 minutes
A Tale of Crowded Macro Trades

Alf and Brent reflect on the immense volatility hitting markets recently, and specifically on the unwind of carry trades: are... more

10 Aug 2024 · 36 minutes
Macro Mayhem!

Alf and Brent reflect on the massive bond market rally and the explosive move in the Japanese Yen - what’s... more

02 Aug 2024 · 39 minutes
Explaining This Brutal Stocks Sell-Off

This week, Alf and Brent discuss the brutal equity market sell-off: is it due to macro tectonic shifts, a reassessment... more

26 Jul 2024 · 37 minutes
Where To Find Cheap Macro Optionality

Alf and Brent look into various ''Trump trades'' now that the odds of a Trump election and Republican sweep have... more

19 Jul 2024 · 39 minutes
It's Macro ShowTime!

Alf and Brent discuss the interesting market reaction to the weak US CPI report, and they dig deep into the... more

12 Jul 2024 · 39 minutes
Option Markets Are Eating The World

In this episode, Alf invites Cem Karsan to discuss what's going on in option markets. Cem does a great job... more

21 Jun 2024 · 37 minutes
What Powell Really Meant

A big macro week is behind us: the combination of CPI and PPI releases provide us with solid information on... more

14 Jun 2024 · 39 minutes
Risk Management Principles

Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen... more

07 Jun 2024 · 38 minutes
Don't Make This Mistake

Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info! In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka... more

31 May 2024 · 28 minutes
How Macro Traders Navigate Uncertainties

Want to meet Alf and Brent in person?! Fill in this 30-second survey so we can make this happen: https://www.eSurveysPro.com/Survey.aspx?id=ad4fe049-95b7-40ef-a46b-f1bdc509b256 In this... more

24 May 2024 · 37 minutes
How To Trade Macro Now?

(Links mentioned in the podcast are in the show notes below: check them out!) Alf and Brent discuss the soft patch... more

17 May 2024 · 35 minutes
Early Signs of Weakness

The Bank of England pre-announced a rate cut in June, the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates, and there are a... more

10 May 2024 · 37 minutes
A New Fed Put?

Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite... more

03 May 2024 · 37 minutes
A Contrarian Macro Thesis

US Q1 Real GDP printed below expectations but still at a respectable 1.6%, and core inflation was hotter than analysts... more

26 Apr 2024 · 37 minutes
What if Hikes are Stimulative?!

The Fed is all of a sudden opening up to the possibility of hikes: what now? But most importantly: have... more

19 Apr 2024 · 36 minutes
Yes, But What Will Break Markets?

This week Alf and Brent discuss how markets seem to be on the lookout for a release valve for the... more

12 Apr 2024 · 37 minutes
The Next Big Trade?

Markets are in reflation mode with commodities getting bid all over the place: not only gold and crude oil, but... more

05 Apr 2024 · 36 minutes
The Macro Trading Floor
Risk Management Principles
The Macro Trading Floor
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Description

Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen recently coupled... more