Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If... more

A bonanza on the semiconductor industry and hardware scaling to AGI by the end of the decade.Dylan Patel runs Semianalysis,... more

Unless you understand the history of oil, you cannot understand the rise of America, WW1, WW2, secular stagnation, the Middle... more

I had no idea how wild human history was before chatting with the geneticist of ancient DNA David Reich.Human history... more

Chatted with Joe Carlsmith about whether we can trust power/techno-capital, how to not end up like Stalin in our urge... more

I talked with Patrick McKenzie (known online as patio11) about how a small team he ran over a Discord server... more

I chatted with Tony Blair about:- What he learned from Lee Kuan Yew- Intelligence agencies track record on Iraq &... more

Here is my conversation with Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop on the $1 million ARC-AGI Prize they're launching today.I did... more

Chatted with my friend Leopold Aschenbrenner on the trillion dollar nationalized cluster, CCP espionage at AI labs, how unhobblings and... more

Chatted with John Schulman (cofounded OpenAI and led ChatGPT creation) on how posttraining tames the shoggoth, and the nature of... more