Audio narrations from the Effective Altruism Forum, including curated posts and posts with 125+ karma. If you'd like more episodes, subscribe to the... more
This post was partly inspired by, and shares some themes with, this Joe Carlsmith post. My post (unsurprisingly) expresses... more
I've been writing a few posts critical of EA over at my blog. They might be of interest to... more
Satisfaction with the EA community Reported satisfaction, from 1 (Very dissatisfied) to 10 (Very satisfied), in December 2023/January... more
TLDR: we think the limiting factor for new charities has shifted from founder talent to early stage funding being... more
I've written before about trying to bring US private foundations into EA as major funders. I got some helpful... more
This is a draft amnesty post. Summary. It seems plausible that fetuses can suffer from 12 weeks of... more
I like Open Phil's worldview diversification. But I don't think their current roster of worldviews does a good job... more
In 2022, Aquatic Life Institute (ALI) led the charge in Banding Together to Ban Octopus Farming. In 2024, we... more
Maternal Health Initiative (MHI) was founded out of Charity Entrepreneurship (AIM)'s 2022 Incubation Program and has since piloted two... more
by Anemone Franz and Tessa Alexanian 80,000 Hours ranks preventing catastrophic pandemics as one of the most pressing problems... more
This might be one of the best pieces of introductory content to the concepts of effective giving that GWWC... more
Authors of linked report: Josh Rosenberg, Ezra Karger, Avital Morris, Molly Hickman, Rose Hadshar, Zachary Jacobs, Philip Tetlock[1] Today,... more
Topic of the post: I list potential things to work on other than keeping AI under human control. Motivation... more
Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with... more
This post shares our journey in starting an Effective Altruism (EA) charity/project focused on Mediterranean fish welfare, the challenges... more
Epistemic status: the stories here are all as true as possible from memory, but my memory is so so.An... more
Open Philanthropy strives to help others as much as we can with the resources available to us. To find... more
Google cofounder Larry Page thinks superintelligent AI is “just the next step in evolution.” In fact, Page, who's worth... more
A friend sent me on a lovely trip down memory lane last week. She forwarded me an email chain... more
A lot of great projects have started in informal ways: a startup in someone's garage, or a scrappy project... more
Summary $8003.98 Charity Entrepreneurship $5000 Insect Institute $5000 Shrimp Welfare Project $5000 Rethink Priorities $5000 Animal Ethics $1000... more
If you enjoy this, please consider subscribing to my Substack. Sam Altman has said he thinks that developing artificial... more
It is with great sadness that we share with you the passing of our fellow community member and beloved... more
I'm posting this as part of the Forum's Benjamin Lay Day celebration — consider writing a reflection of your... more
TLDR: Given Charity Entrepreneurship's recent scaling, we are changing our brand to call our extended ecosystem “Ambitious Impact (AIM).”... more
Quaker abolitionist Benjamin Lay died exactly 265 years ago today (on February 8, 1759). I’m using the anniversary of... more
Chris Anderson, Head of TED, has just released a new book called Infectious Generosity, which has a whole chapter... more
Charity Entrepreneurship is running a second edition of our Research Training Program (RTP) – a program designed to equip... more
I investigate the rates of criminal misconduct amongst people who have taken The Giving Pledge (roughly: ~200 [non-EA] billionaires who... more
(Cross-posted from my website. Podcast version here, or search for "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app. This essay... more
Should we seek to make our scientific institutions more effective? On the one hand, rising material prosperity has so... more
Crossposted from Twitter. As the year comes to an end, we want to highlight and celebrate some of the... more
Crossposted from AI Impacts blog The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out, this time with 2778... more
We, on behalf of the EV US and EV UK boards, are very glad to share that Zach Robinson... more
I'm only 30% sure [Edit Jan 7: 90% sure] that this is actually an inadequacy made by those whose... more
There was a recent post about economic growth & effective altruism by Karthik Tadepalli. He pointed out that a... more
Much attention recently has focused on far-UVC light, part of the spectrum of germicidal UV (GUV), and its promise... more
This podcast is an Ask Me Anything with Rob Mather, Founder and CEO of the Against Malaria Foundation, hosted by... more
As we announced back in October, I have taken on the senior leadership role at MIRI as its CEO.... more
A summary of the Nonlinear situation from a third-person perspective, by Ozy Brennan. I find it to be thoughtful,... more
I think many EAs have a unique view about how one altruistic action affects the next altruistic action, something... more
This is a crosspost for A year of wins for farmed animals, published by Lewis Bollard on 14 December... more
TL;DR: We ran a Donation Election in which 341 Forum users[1] voted on how we should allocate the Donation... more
Summary. In the past year, public fora have seen growing concern about existential risk (henceforth, x-risk) from AI. The... more
Huge thanks to Konrad Seifert, Marcel Steimke, Ysaline Bourgine, Milena Canzler, Alex Rahl-Kaplan, Marieke de Visscher, and Guillaume Vorreux... more
I tend to disagree with most EAs about existential risk from AI. Unfortunately, my disagreements are all over the... more
The New York Times Picture a scene: the New York Times is releasing an article on Effective Altruism (EA)... more
I’ve been working in animal advocacy for two years and have an amateur interest in AI.... more
Giving What We Can (GWWC) is embarking on an exciting new chapter: after years of support, we will be... more
We’re announcing two updates today that we believe will strengthen the effective altruism ecosystem. FTX updates First, we’re pleased... more
Recently, Ben Pace wrote a well-intentioned blog post mostly based on complaints from 2 (of 21) Nonlinear employees who... more
Summary: International funding and coordination to tackle HIV/AIDS and support health systems in lower- and middle-income countries, is at... more
Epistemic Status: I've researched this broad topic for a couple of years. I've read about 30+ books and 100+... more
Summary of findings 2 years in: A monthly universal basic income (UBI) empowered recipients and did not create... more
I'm Ezra, CEO of EA Israel, but am writing this in a personal capacity. My goal in writing this is... more
Summary.EA Infrastructure Fund (EAIF)[1] has historically had a somewhat scattershot focus within “EA meta.” This makes it difficult for us to... more
Charity Entrepreneurship in collaboration with Giving What We Can is opening a new program to launch 4-6 new Effective Giving... more
To EAs, "development economics" evokes the image of RCTs on psychotherapy or deworming. That is, after all, the closest interaction... more
tl;dr: It actually seems pretty rare for people to care about the general good as such (i.e., optimizing cause-agnostic impartial... more
effektiv-spenden.org is an effective giving platform in Germany and Switzerland that was founded in 2019. To reflect on our past... more
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism — Scott Alexander
I took the GWWC Pledge in 2018, while I was an undergraduate student. I only have a hazy recollection of... more
The last year has been toughThe last year has been tough for EA. FTX blew up in the most spectacular... more
Rob Mather, CEO, AMF, 25 November 20232023 has been a very busy year for AMF, more on 2024 later.ImpactAMF's team... more
With immense sadness, we want to let the community know about the passing of Sebastian Lodemann, who lost his life... more
Despite the complicated and imperfect origins of American Thanksgiving, what's worth preserving is the moment it offers for society to... more
The Giving What We Can research team is excited to share the results of our first round of evaluations of... more
In honor of “Marginal Funding Week” for 2023 Giving Season on the EA Forum, I’d like to tell you what... more
Just as~2 years ago, the EA Animal Welfare Fund has significant room for more funding. This could be a pretty... more
Thanks to Michael St. Jules for his comments.Key TakeawaysThe evidence that animal welfare dominates in neartermism is strong.Open Philanthropy (OP)... more
The board of directors of OpenAI, Inc, the 501(c)(3) that acts as the overall governing body for all OpenAI activities,... more
Summary We (Habiba Banu and Roxanne Heston) have launched Spiro, a new TB screening and prevention charity focused on children. Our... more
(Cross-posted from my website) I’ve written a report about whether advanced AIs will fake alignment during training in order to get... more
This post summarizes how my partner and I decided whether to have children or not. We spent hundreds of hours... more
(Written in a personal capacity, and not representing either my current employer or former one)In 2016, I founded Utility Farm,... more
I spoke with some people who worked or served on the board at organizations that had a leadership transition after... more
Athena is a new research mentorship program fostering diversity of ideas in AI safety research. We aim to get more... more
General note: The bulk of this post was written a couple of months ago, but I am releasing it now... more
This write-up is a compilation of organisations and projects aligned / adjacent to the effective altruism movement in East Asia... more
TLDR: The best research we have shows that clean water may provide a 30% mortality reduction to children under 5.... more
This post is a part of Rethink Priorities’ Worldview Investigations Team's CURVE Sequence: “Causes and Uncertainty: Rethinking Value in Expectation.”... more
A key question for many interventions' impact is how long the intervention changes some output counterfactually, or how long the... more
YouGov recently reported the results of a survey (n=1000) suggesting that about “one in five (22%) Americans are familiar with... more
IntroA few months ago, the other (former) Alvea executives and I made the difficult decision to wind Alvea down and... more
After careful consideration, we made the difficult decision to wind Alvea down and return our remaining funds to investors. This... more
Released today (10/30/23) this is crazy, perhaps the most sweeping action taken by government on AI yet. Below, I've segmented... more
Views are my own, not Open Philanthropy's. I am married to the President of Anthropic and have a financial interest... more
SummaryGiven EA's history and values, I’d have expected for impact evaluation to be a distinguishing feature of the movement. In... more
Figure 1 (see full caption below)This post is a part of Rethink Priorities' Worldview Investigations Team's CURVE Sequence: "Causes and... more
I am excited about AI developers implementing responsible scaling policies; I’ve recently been spending time refining this idea and advocating... more
NIMBYs don’t call themselves NIMBYs. They call themselves affordable housing advocates or community representatives or environmental campaigners. They’re usually not... more
After launching our first batch of 2023 charities in April, we are now thrilled to announce the launch of four... more
Summary of Findings It has been almost a year since FTX went bankrupt on November 11, 2022. Some of the ways... more
This post is a part of Rethink Priorities’ Worldview Investigations Team's CURVE Sequence: “Causes and Uncertainty: Rethinking Value in Expectation.”... more
I’m a grantmaker who previously spent a decade as a professional investor. I’ve recently helped some Open Phil, GiveWell, and... more
Philanthropist Chuck Feeney died on October 9, at 92. He founded one of the largest private charitable foundations in history,... more
Crosspost from Astral Codex Ten. I.Last month, Ben West of the Center for Effective Altruism hosted a debate among long-termists,... more
Last year, we committed $350 million to GiveWell's evidence-backed, cost-effective recommendations in global health and development.This year, we’re committing $300M... more
In the latest episode of the 80,000 Hours podcast, Kevin Esvelt talks about the New World screwworm. He claims that... more
Key PointsAnimal parties are minor (niche) political parties with a single-issue focus on animals.Animal parties can win seats in elections... more
Epistemic status: Hot takes for discussion. These observations are a side product of another strategy project, rather than a systematic... more
This is a summary of a report on trends in violence since the dawn of humanity: from the hunter-gatherer period... more
From the looks of it, next week might be rough for people who care about Effective Altruism. As CEA acting... more
It's been another busy year at Open Philanthropy; after nearly doubling the size of our team in 2022, we’ve added... more
As some of you know, I’m working on growing the US market for Chinese tofus. I believe it could be... more
I’m extremely excited to announce the launch of our new community strategy that aims to connect our existing community better,... more
OverviewThe total moral value of the world includes humans as well as all other beings of moral significance. As such,... more
Andy Weber was the U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear, Chemical & Biological Defense Programs from 2009 to 2014.... more
Our team at Our World in Data just launched a new page on animal welfare! There you can find a... more
SummaryShrimp Welfare Project launched in Sep 2021, via the Charity Entrepreneurship Incubation Program. We aim to reduce the suffering of... more
In this post I talk about several strong non-epistemic incentives and issues that can influence people to pursue longtermist[1]career paths... more
In March of this year, 30,000 people, including leading AI figures like Yoshua Bengio and Stuart Russell, signed a letter... more
Earlier today, Will MacAskill stepped down from the board of Effective Ventures UK[1], having served as a trustee since its... more
tl;dr: Advocacy to the public is a large and neglected opportunity to advance AI Safety. AI Safety as a field... more
I don't have much time to get into this, but I heard rumblings, saw a post, and wrote a comment,... more
Personal opinion only. Inspired by filling out the Meta coordination forum survey. Epistemic status: Very uncertain, rough speculation. I’d be... more
When talking to newcomers to the field of biosecurity, I often felt annoyed that there wasn't a single introductory resource... more
Should we lobby governments to impose a moratorium on AI research? Since we don’t enforce pauses on most new technologies,... more
I’m Catherine, and I'm one of the Community Liaisons working in CEA's Community Health and Special Projects Team. This is... more
Citation: Romero Waldhorn, D., & Autric, E. (2022, December 21). Shrimp: The animals most commonly used and killed for food... more
There has already been ample discussion of what norms and taboos should exist in the EA community, especially over the... more
Epistemic status: Once I started actively looking into things, much of my information in the post below came about by... more
On 23rd August, Nick Beckstead stepped down from the boards of Effective Ventures UK and Effective Ventures US.For context, EV... more
In which: I list 9 projects that I would work on if I wasn’t busy working on safety standards at... more
I sometimes get a vibe that many people trying to ambitiously do good in the world (including EAs) are misguided... more
TLDR: This post is part of a sequence we’ve prepared for the Career Conversations Week on the EA Forum. This... more
I work as a Resident Assistant at my college. Last year, only a few weeks into me starting, I was... more
Congrats on having invented something exciting! Usually, the best way to get innovative new technology into the hands of beneficiaries quickly... more
Hi folks, in this post we’d like to describe our views as the Chair (Peter) and Director (Michael) of HLI... more
This piece defends a strong form of epistemic modesty: that, in most cases, one should pay scarcely any attention to... more
Progress report on CEA’s search for a new CEOI[1] wanted to give an update on the Centre for Effective Altruism... more
Pure Earth is a GiveWell Grantee dedicated to reducing lead exposure in low- and middle-income countries. In collaboration with Stanford... more
For most people I don't think it's important to have a really precise definition of integrity. But if you really want to... more
TL;DR: EAGs from 2022–2023 each cost around $2M–$3.6M USD at around $1.5k–2.5k per person per event.These events typically cost a... more
Nuclear winter is a topic that many have heard about, but where significant confusion can occur. I certainly knew little... more
∼250,000 new contraceptive users, ∼20 million new listeners and up to ∼60x cost effectivenessTL;DR: In 2021, FEM launched our pilot: a... more
SummaryImpact obsession is a potentially unhelpful way of relating to doing good which we’ve observed among effective altruists, including ourselves. (More)What do... more
Sometimes, there is a reason other grantmakers aren't funding a fairly well-known EA (-adjacent) project. This post is written in... more
These are my own views, and not those of my employer, EVOps, or of CEA who I have contracted for... more
Imagine this: • > Oliver: … Thus we see that donating to the opera is the best way of promoting... more
Plant-based meats, like the Beyond Sausage or Impossible Burger, and cultivated meats have become a source of optimism for reducing... more
What is the definition of Effective Altruism? What claims does it make? What do you have to believe or do,... more
This is a blog post, not a research report, meaning it was produced quickly and is not to Rethink Priorities’... more
SummaryPrevious research from Rethink Priorities found that a majority of the population (59%) agreed with a statement from the Center... more
Today is my two-year anniversary with EA NYC, where I serve as director. To say I've learned a lot would... more
Prompted by the FTX collapse, the rapid progress in AI, and increased mainstream acceptance of AI risk concerns, there has... more
Actions that have a large impact sometimes don't feel like much. To counteract that bias, I'm sharing arguably the best... more
I'm working writing more, quicker, and not directly for an EA Forum audience. This is a post copied over from... more
TLDR: On early-stage analysis, persuading people to soak their beans before cooking could cost-effectively save Sub-saharan Africans a significant amount... more
Or: “Why EA biosecurity epistemics are whack”The effective altruism (EA) biosecurity community focuses on reducing the risks associated with global... more
I collected my favorite public pieces of research on AI strategy, governance, and forecasting from 2023 so far.If you're a... more
I recently resigned as Columbia EA President and have stepped away from the EA community. This post aims to explain... more
EA-motivated specialists sometimes offer free or subsidized versions of normally expensive services to EA projects. I think this is often... more
I'm stepping down as chair of the Long-Term Future Fund. I'm writing this post partially as a loose set of... more
Views expressed in this article are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of my employer SecureBio.SummaryFar-UVC has great promise,... more
On Tuesday, the US Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology and the Law held a hearing on AI. The hearing... more
TL;DR: When I say “General EA” I am referring to the cluster including the term “effective altruism,” the idea of... more
SummaryWe are launching the Meta Charity Funders, a growing network of donors sharing knowledge and discussing funding opportunities in the EA... more
SummaryQuadratic funding (QF) is a mechanism that has gained attention as a potential way to improve resource allocation in a... more
Crossposted from my blog. The horror of fish farmingOne of my professors in college taught a class about effective altruism—a... more
Since writing The Precipice, one of my aims has been to better understand how reducing existential risk compares with other... more
Formerly known as "Aaron's Epistemic Stories", which stops working as a title when it's on the Forum and people aren't... more
WHY WRITE A POST ABOUT THEORIES OF CHANGE?As participants in a movement with ‘effective’ in its name, it’s easy to... more
On May 11, 2023, the Supreme Court of the United States upheld a 2018 California law, Proposition 12, which banned... more
Announcing Fatebook: a website that makes it extremely low friction to make and track predictions. … --- ... more
Update: Andrés Jiménez Zorrilla (CEO of SWP) has provided some additional information in the comments. In particular: … The original... more
Manifund is launching a new regranting program! We will allocate ~$2 million over the next six months based on the... more
I would like to thank Lant Pritchett, David Roodman and Matt Lerner for their invaluable comments.You can follow these links to... more
This is a linkpost for "Forecasting Existential Risks: Evidence from a Long-Run Forecasting Tournament," accessible here: https://forecastingresearch.org/s/XPT.pdfToday, the Forecasting Research Institute (FRI)... more
IntroductionLast year, one conversation left a lasting impression on me. A friend remarked on the challenges of navigating "corrupting forces"... more
This is a tough one to post, it’s also a little off topic for the forum. I went back and... more
Lead Exposure Elimination Project (LEEP) is an outstanding Charity Entrepreneurship-incubated charity recognized externally for its impactful work by RP, Founders... more
TL;DR: We are excited to announce our Research Training Program. This online program is designed to equip participants with the... more
There was a debate on the statement “AI research and development poses an existential threat” (“x-risk” for short), with Max... more
This post is a slightly belated contribution to the Strategy Fortnight. It represents my personal takes only; I’m not speaking on... more
Epistemic Status: This is a subject I've been casually thinking about for a while, but I wrote this document fairly... more
StatusWhile this is part of EA Strategy Fortnight, my intention is to focus more on what effective altruism did well,... more
Epistemic status: This post is an edited version of an informal memo I wrote several months ago. I adapted it... more
I’m sharing the below as part of the EA Strategy Fortnight. I think there’s value in discussing what the role of... more
This post is part of EA Strategy Fortnight. You can see other Strategy Fortnight posts here.I’ve been reflecting on the role of... more
Upside Foods and Good Meat, two companies that make what they call “cultivated chicken,” said Wednesday that they have gotten... more
The post contains a reflection on our journey as co-founders of Rethink Priorities. We are Peter Wildeford and Marcus A.... more
Some months ago, Rethink Priorities announced its interdisciplinary Worldview Investigation Team (WIT). Now, we’re pleased to introduce the team’s members:Bob Fischer... more
Epistemic status: This is a pretty detailed hypothesis that I think overall doesn’t add up to more than 50% of... more
Gesturing at a thing to mostly avoid. My personal opinion. This topic has been discussed on the EA Forum before, e.g.... more
A short and arguably unfinished blog post that I'm sharing as part of EA strategy fortnight. There's probably a lot... more
Tl;dr: This post, which is part of the EA Strategy Fortnight series, summarizes some of my current views about the... more
This post is a personal reflection that follows my journey to effective altruism, my experiences within it, the concerns I've... more
This is a frame that I have found useful and I'm sharing in case others find it useful. EA has arguably... more
Executive summaryOne of the biggest challenges of being in a community that really cares about counterfactuals is knowing where the... more
I carried out a short project to better understand talent needs in AI governance. This post reports on my findings.How... more
Epistemic Status: Low-to-medium confidence, informed by my experience with having a disability as an EA. I think the included recommendations... more
Crossposted on Medium here.Twitter: @lucreti_aFrom Lore Olympus.Thank you to the supportive EA members who encouraged me to publicly share this... more
In the 2000s, cost-effectiveness analysis said it was a bad use of money to send antiretroviral drugs to low-income countries—drugs... more
This post is a summary of some of my work as a field strategy consultant at Schmidt Futures' Act 2... more
Tl;dr: I’m kicking off a push for public discussions about EA strategy that will be happening June 12-24. You’ll see... more
Introduction“News through prediction markets”The Base Rate Times is a nascent news site that incorporates prediction markets prominently into its coverage.Please... more
This post is a summary of some of my work as a field strategy consultant at Schmidt Futures' Act 2... more
Epistemic status: some thoughts I wanted to get out quicklyA lot of fantastic work has been done by people in... more
This is partly based on my experiences working as a Program Officer leading Open Phil’s Longtermist EA Community Growth team,... more
From late 2020 to last month, I worked at grassroots-level non-profits in operational roles. Over that time, I’ve seen surprisingly... more
1. Tl;drMany reports indicate that indoor air quality (IAQ) interventions are likely to be effective at reducing respiratory disease transmission. However, to date... more
TL;DRWe are a new AI evals research organization called Apollo Research based in London. We think that strategic AI deception – where... more
Today, the AI Extinction Statement was released by the Center for AI Safety, a one-sentence statement jointly signed by a historic coalition... more
Dear EA Forum readers, The EA charity, Legal Impact for Chickens (LIC), just filed our second lawsuit! As many of you know,... more
Charity Entrepreneurship is frequently contacted by individuals and donors who like our model. Several have expressed interest in seeing the... more
Underrated is relative.[1] My position is something like "most people should consider going to >1 EAG talk" and not "most... more
I went to EAG London this weekend. I had some interesting chats, wrote some cryptic squiggles in my notebook (“Clockify”... more
We've just passed the half-year mark for this project! If you're reading this, please consider taking this 5 minute survey... more
How worried about AI risk will we feel in the future, when we can see advanced machine intelligence up close?... more
We've just passed the half-year mark for this project! If you're reading this, please consider taking this 5 minute survey... more
People often ask me for career advice related to AGI safety. This post summarizes the advice I most commonly give.... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/m2Y6HheC2Q2GLQ3oS/summaries-of-top-forum-posts-17th-23rd-april-2023This podcast has just passed the 6-month mark! Please give us your feedback and suggestions so we can continue... more
The excellent report from Rethink Priorities was my main source for this. Many of the substantial points I make are... more
This is a linkpost for a new 80,000 hours episode focused on how to engage in climate from an effective... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/o3Gaoizs2So6SpgLH/summaries-of-top-forum-posts-27th-march-to-16th-aprilThis podcast has just passed the 6-month mark! Please give us your feedback and suggestions so we can continue... more
I recently spent some time reflecting on my career and my life, for a few reasons:It was my 29th birthday,... more
This is a linkpost for https://www.forourposterity.com/want-to-win-the-agi-race-solve-alignment/Society really cares about safety. Practically speaking, the binding constraint on deploying your AGI could... more
Far fewer people are working on it than you might think, and even the alignment research that is happening is... more
In my last essay, I looked at two stories (brute preference for systematic-ness, and money-pumps) about why ethical anti-realists should... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/idpbfmPjHFCvzj46L/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-13th-19th-march-2023This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
Longtermists have argued that humanity should significantly increase its efforts to prevent catastrophes like nuclear wars, pandemics, and AI disasters.... more
Oral rehydration therapy is now the standard treatment for dehydration. It’s saved millions of lives, and can be prepared at... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fWGdsWbS6vtC9E7ii/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-6th-12th-march-2023This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/yCxsz9jk5iau2uvYH/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-27th-feb-5th-mar-2023This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
This document looks at the predictions made by AI experts in The 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI, analyses... more
I don’t think the existing evidence justifies HLI's estimate of 50% household spillovers. My main disagreements are:Two of the three RCTs... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/bEJ6SyrkSF45B2LWZ/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-20th-26th-feb-2023This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
Ethical philosophy often tries to systematize. That is, it seeks general principles that will explain, unify, and revise our more... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fAWotZTEnyycJnuxz/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-6th-19th-feb-2023This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
This is the story of how I came to see Wild Animal Welfare (WAW) as a less promising cause than... more
Apply now to start a nonprofit in Biosecurity or Large-Scale Global HealthIn this post we introduce our top five charity... more
Hi everyone,I've been reading up on H5N1 this weekend, and I'm pretty concerned. Right now my hunch is that there... more
This is a linkpost for https://epochai.org/blog/literature-review-of-transformative-artificial-intelligence-timelinesWe summarize and compare several models and forecasts predicting when transformative AI will be developed.HighlightsThe... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Qzfew7EBPgdCzsxED/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-30th-jan-5th-feb-2023This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
This post outlines the capability approach to thinking about human welfare. I think that this approach, while very popular in... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/hzc26vGa4RLns7TvK/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-23rd-29th-jan-23This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6Ezg8HgHib9bpWCFr/ea-and-lw-forum-weekly-summary-16th-22nd-jan-23This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
We offer welfare range estimates for 11 farmed species: pigs, chickens, carp, salmon, octopuses, shrimp, crayfish, crabs, bees, black soldier... more
For many years, I've actively lived in avoidance of idolizing behavior and in pursuit of a nuanced view of even... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DNWpFLrtrJXe4mted/ea-and-lw-forum-summaries-9th-jan-to-15th-jan-23This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
I previously wrote an entry for the Open Philanthropy Cause Exploration Prize on why preventing violence against women and girls... more
In this post, we point out that short AI timelines would cause real interest rates to be high, and would... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JZuCg7TtfzzaX9bBY/ea-and-lw-forum-summaries-holiday-edition-19th-dec-8th-janThis is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
At Anima International, we recently decided to suspend our campaign against live fish sales in Poland indefinitely. After a few... more
This is a linkpost for https://simonm.substack.com/p/strongminds-should-not-be-a-top-ratedGWWC lists StrongMinds as a “top-rated” charity. Their reason for doing so is because Founders... more
If you fear that someone will build a machine that will seize control of the world and annihilate humanity, then... more
In previous pieces, I argued that there's a real and large risk of AI systems' aiming to defeat all of... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8bcPkqdLYG78YbnTh/ea-and-lw-forums-weekly-summary-5th-dec-11th-dec-22This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
Key TakeawaysOur objective: estimate the welfare ranges of 11 farmed species.Given hedonism, an individual’s welfare range is the difference between... more
Hiya folks! I'm Patrick McKenzie, better known on the Internets as patio11. (Proof.) Long-time-listener, first-time-caller; I don't think I would... more
Original article:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LdEPDqyZvucQkxhWH/ea-and-lw-forums-weekly-summary-28th-nov-4th-dec-22This is part of a weekly series summarizing the top posts on the EA Forum — you can see... more
Key Takeaways:Several influential EAs have suggested using neuron counts as rough proxies for animals’ relative moral weights. We challenge this... more
Long and rough notes on Effective Altruism (EA). Written to help me get to the bottom of several questions: what... more
This post introduces a framework for thinking about population ethics: “population ethics without axiology.” In its last section, I sketch... more
In “How Likely is World War III?”, Stephen suggested the chance of an extinction-level war occurring sometime this century is... more
In both the 1940s and 1950s, well-meaning and good people – the brightest of their generation – were convinced they... more
What We Owe The Future (WWOTF) by Will MacAskill has recently been released with much fanfare. While I strongly agree... more
This essay is a reconciliation of moral commitment and the good life. Here is its essence in two paragraphs:Totalized by... more
Excerpt:At EA Global: San Francisco 2022, the following organisations held a joint session to discuss their different approaches to measuring... more
In “How Likely is World War III?”, Stephen suggested the chance of an extinction-level war occurring sometime this century is just under... more