The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle... more
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Episodes
This week we discuss whether the Fed made the right decision, the post-FOMC volatility spike, and the China risk to... more
In this episode, Joseph Wang joins the show to discuss the latest Fed decision, its December economic projections, and what... more
This week we discuss the small cap trade, the upcoming Fed decision, and whether inflation risks are overblown. We also... more
In this episode, Warren Mosler joins the show to discuss the counterintuitive impact of that Federal Funds rate, the impact... more
This week we discuss the November jobs report, the Fed’s cutting path, and the goldilocks scenario for 2025. We also... more
In this episode, Dan Tapiero joins the show to discuss why he’s unbelievably bullish on the macro, his introduction to... more
In this episode, Michael Kao joins the show to discuss why the Fed rate cuts were a mistake, the impact... more
This week we discuss how to think about managing risk, whether inflation fears are overpriced, and embracing the market rotation.... more
This week we discuss the Fed’s cutting path, Powell’s speech, and managing crypto market euphoria. We also delve into whether... more
In this episode, Stephen Miran joins the show to discuss Trump’s potential economic policies, the current economic imbalances in global... more
In this episode, George Robertson joins the show to discuss why he thinks there is no monetary policy, the changing... more
This week we discuss the impact of the election, the Fed’s interest rate decision, and the post-election trading themes. We... more
In this episode, Bob Elliot joins the show to discuss the Fed’s latest interest rate decision, the ongoing "over easy"... more
In this episode, Cem Karsan joins the show to discuss the election’s impact on markets, the new era of populism,... more
This week we discuss the latest NFP report, the Treasury's Quarterly Refunding Announcement, and whether the Trump trade is unwinding.... more
In this episode, Jurrien Timmer joins the show to discuss where we are in the current bull market, the push... more
This week we discuss the short bond trade, volatility and excessive hedging, and the election probabilities. We also delve into... more
In this episode, Eric Basmajian joins the show to break down the business cycle, how the cyclical economy impacts the... more
This week we discuss election trades and Trump’s impact on markets, the number of Fed rate cuts currently priced in,... more
In this episode, Tony Greer joins the show to discuss his perspective on equities, the subsectors he’s trading, and his... more
This week we sat down at Permissionless to discuss the latest CPI and labor market data, the likely noise in... more
In this episode, Jonah and Avi join Felix to discuss the current macro regime, Bitcoin and the crypto market, and... more
This week we discuss the latest bullish jobs report, the impact of globally-coordinated easing, and the Middle East's impact on... more
In this episode, Harley Bassman joins the show to discuss what the bond market is pricing, the Fed’s master plan,... more
This week we discuss China’s economic stimulus, the resilience of the labor market, and the GDP/GDI revisions. We also delve... more
In this episode, Prometheus Research joins the show to discuss his macro framework, what the subcomponents of GDP tell us... more
This week we discuss the Fed decision & economic projections, the bullish market signals, and the reasoning behind recession calls.... more
This week we discuss the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision, the path to the neutral rate, and why the... more
Important news: this will be Jack’s last episode as the host of Forward Guidance. He is transitioning to host a... more
This interview with Brett Jefferson discusses trust preferred CDOs, why they can provide such great opportunities, and how Brett’s fund... more
Laila Kollmorgen, Portfolio Manager, CLO Tranche for Pinebridge Investments, joins Jack for a Fireside Chat on Forward Guidance to discuss... more
This interview with Matthew Sigel explores the bull case for bitcoin, its future as a reserve asset, and the economics... more
Imaru Casanova, Portfolio Manager, Gold and Precious Metals at VanEck, joins to share her views on how to value gold... more
This interview with Jonny Mathews explores why he believes we aren’t headed for a recession, how real consumption will likely... more
This interview was recorded on a drive down from Leen’s Lodge in rural Maine, as Talmon and Jack returned from... more
This interview with Angus Shillington explores why India is the most promising emerging market, why it has outperformed the S&P... more
This interview with Jim Bianco and Jeremy Schwartz discusses the Federal Reserve’s policy path, whether inflation will actually come down,... more
This interview with Michael Drury explores how China’s problems affect the global economy, its economic advantages, and where it spends... more
This interview with Eric Fine & Natalia Gurushina delves into the potential of emerging markets, how they are affected by... more
This interview with Mike Harris explores the strategies and challenges of the Quest Hedge Fund, from CTA trend-following and AI... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. -- This interview with... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. This interview was... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. __ Follow Noel Smith... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. This interview was... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Nick Timiraos... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow VanEck on... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Tommy Thornton... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. New paper published... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Chris Whalen... more
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Michael Pettis... more
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Description
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Nick Timiraos on Twitter... more